Attempts to reach a ceasefire in Ukraine are scattered with years of failure

The ceasefire in Russia in Ukraine lasted only 30 hours, and until then it seems very limited in its scope, with accusations of violations on both sides.

Kiev said that there were no “alerts of air strikes” on Sunday during the “Easter truce” of Vladimir Putin, President Folodimir Zelinski suggested that this might be the “easiest” “easiest” period of 30 days and perhaps more.

The United States has tried to organize a 30 -day ceasefire, but this was unprecedented, and this last chapter confirms difficulty in achieving a short fighting,

Russia insisted on a number of conditions, including stopping the rearrangement of Ukraine and recruiting new fighters as well as “the reasons behind the conflict.”

One of the main factors that hinder the progress of conversations is the long history of broken ceasefire deals, which leads to a deep lack of confidence between the two neighboring.

During his stormy meeting with Donald Trump in February, Zelinski accused Russia of violating 25 ceasefire agreements since 2014, and he argued that such a deal would not be concluded without security guarantees.

In turn, Russia accuses the Ukrainian president of “unable” to implement any such agreements.

Independent experts say that Russia holds the burden of blame for broken fractures, although Ukraine holds some responsibility as well.

The statements of the current and former Russian officials also indicate that Moscow will be ready to stop hostilities, only if its original goals – that is, is dedicated, neutral and non -nuclear Ukraine.

By invading Ukraine in 2014, Russia violated the agreement on friendship, cooperation and partnership between the two countries signed in 1997. Article 2 said that aspects “respect the regional safety of each other and confirm the inability of the current borders between them.”

The war was widespread on charges of betrayal from the beginning.

General Victor Mozenko, the chief of the General Staff of Ukraine at the time, accuses Russia of returning to agreements that allow Ukrainian forces to withdraw from the eastern town of Elovicic in August 2014.

As a result, clouds were subjected to convoys under fire, killing at least 366 Ukrainian fighters.

The first ceasefire agreement, It was signed on September 5, 2014 in MinskIt was broken within hours of its signing, as the Ukrainian sources reported the attacks of the Russian agent at Donetsk airport. The attacks on other Ukrainian cities in the region continued, such as Debaltseve, as well.

This prompted Try the second truceIt is known as Minsk-2, but it was shorter.

Within minutes of entering into force on February 15, 2015, observers from the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) reported the Mortality and artillery fire in Donetsk. They were published in the war zone at the request of Ukraine to monitor the security situation, including any violations of the ceasefire, but they did not say explicitly who committed it.

Following this was a series of other shooting attempts. Again, some were broken within minutes of entering into force.

They included Easter in 2016, 2017 and 2018, the “ceasefire” for the year 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018, which was supposed to allow school children near the front lines to return to school in September, and the Christmas and New Year stop in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018, and “get rid of the bad guys” for the year 2017, 2018 and 2019 to allow the assembly to fight and others.

The “comprehensive shooting”, which came into effect on July 27, 2020, lasted only 20 minutes, according to Kev. However, it had an impact on the fighting, as the number of deaths between Ukrainian soldiers decreased the following year.

Matthew Savil, Director of Military Sciences at the Royal United Services Institute (Rusi) in London, says Russia has never made ceasefire talks in good faith.

“Russia was never sincere about removing or ending the risk of using force to search for its goals,” he says.

Because of many ceasefire agreements between Ukraine and Russia, “the fighting level has receded and flowing, and Ukraine bears some responsibility for part of that,” he told BBC.

“But the primary challenge is that there was always a Russian or Russian military threat, supported, and informing things.”

John Herbet, the former American ambassador in Kiev, who is now working in the Atlantic Council in Washington, argues that Russia, not Ukraine, was the “serial violation” of the Minsk Conventions, which are still one of the most comprehensive attempts to mediate in Ocreen in Okreen.

Checking the allegations of the ceasefire violations is not easy because all independent journalists have been banned almost from Russian parts controlled by Ukraine.

There are reports that Ukraine restored villages in 2016-19, a successful Ukrainian attack outside the face of nutrition, said BBC journalist Olga Evchaina, who was on the ground in the East Donabas region in Ukraine on the early stages of the war.

“All of these things were announced as violations by Moscow. But of course they have forgotten that the seizure of Debaltseve in 2015 was the biggest violation of everyone,” said Evishena.

Despite the Minsk agreements, Russian -controlled forces fired an attack against the city of Dibaltif, claiming that it was not covered in the ceasefire deal.

Zelensky described Minsk’s agreements as a “trap” for Ukraine that allowed Russia to prepare for a comprehensive invasion.

Putin says that Ukraine and its Western supporters were intending to implement the Minsk deals. Their fate was closed when Russia announced that the so -called Donetsk and Luhanssk “people’s republics” – the separatist entities that helped in preparing – as independent countries.

Putin’s “Easter” truce was more than just a calm, but President Trump said, “We hope that Russia and Ukraine will clarify this week’s deal.”

So far, there has been no indication that the Kremlin would accept the US call for immediate and unconditional ceasefire, and Ukraine agreed to it.

Trump has already warned that if any of the two parties made it difficult to shoot, “we will only pass” and go away.

Russia’s demand for “the reasons behind the conflict” in its resolution indicates that it has not moved from its original goal of undermining the sovereignty of Ukraine – through negotiations and military means.

Vladislav Sorkov, the former close adviser to Vladimir Putin, who was known as the “Cardinal Gray” for Russian policy, celebrates last year as a means of “to give legitimacy to the first part of Ukraine.

He said that the idea of ​​peace itself is “nothing but the continuation of war by other means.”