Ateko Abu Bakr Al -Nijeri and Peter Obi joins Paula Tenobo

The main opposition leaders in Nigeria joined a new political party to challenge President Platinobo and his ruling party in the upcoming elections.

Ateko Abu Bakr and Peter Obi chose the African Democratic Conference (ADC) as a new political home after moving away from their parties – the Popular Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labor Party (LP).

This is one of the largest disposal of Nigerian policy since the end of military rule in 1999.

Some political weights of the Progressive Congress in Tinubu (APC) threw their weight behind the formation.

This announcement is the culmination of a series of talks between leaders to put a unified front in the 2027 elections, instead of dividing their vote.

Tinubu won the 2023 elections with only 37 % of the votes after the opposition supporters were divided between Abu Bakr, who received 29 % and OBI by 25 %.

Obi had separated from the People’s Democratic Party after the party chose Abu Bakr as his presidential candidate.

In the unveiling of ADC, interim President David Mark said it was an attempt to save democracy in the country and prevent Nigeria from becoming one party.

Both PDP and LP fight the internal crises that some believe have been incited by external forces.

Analyst Xio Iliaso said that Abu Bakr and Obi admire the recent election lessons.

“All Ateko [Abubakar] Obi felt that they approached in 2023 and could have won a common ticket, so they wanted to adjust their mistake by working together this time.

The biggest competitors of Tinubu in the last elections, Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi are the face of the coalition.

Although there is a long road before the official candidates are announced, political commentators expect that Abu Bakr, 78, will get another bullet on the presidency-will be his fifth attempt-with the former Anambera ruler Obi, 63, as a vice-pioneer deputy.

Other political weights in the coalition include former Senate Speaker David Mark, who is leaving like ATIKU Democratic People’s Party, along with its former president, UHe Secondus, and former Tinubu ally who turned into the enemy of Nasser Al -Rafay and the strong minister in the last distributor of the Rotimi Amachi.

no. Politicians join a party that already has a shortcut to the Democratic Alliance (ADA) who wanted to register.

The party was originally called an alliance for democratic change when it was formed in 2005, but its name was changed to the African Democratic Conference by the time when the party was registered with the Nigerian National Committee (INEC).

Jamilu Danlady from ADC said they were skeptical of ADA’s willingness in time and that is why they went instead to ADC.

The registration of a new political party is a difficult process. INEC Chairman has recently announced that he had received more than 100 requests from associations and groups that submitted intentions to become political parties.

Many of them will not make, regardless of other circumstances, the group must have a presence in at least 24 states from 36 states in Nigeria and has a headquarters in Abuja.

ADC from ADC ranked fifth in the last presidential elections and currently has two members of Parliament in the lower chamber.

Although it is not one of the major parties in Nigeria, ADC has a good national spread and an active political mechanism in every state, which will undoubtedly be strengthened with money and support for the political weights they joined.

Professor Pat Automi’s first presidential candidate was a key role in obtaining national acceptance because he is a famous economic expert.

This is the question on the lips of many, because the large support base in OBI does not want to see it plays a second violin for anyone else – and for this reason he left PDP to join the Labor Party in the last elections.

While Abu Bakr supporters feel that he is the only former vice president who seeks the presidency, every other politician comes second.

When both politicians worked together in 2019 with Obi’s work as a colleague in the running in Abu Bakr, they lost to Muhammad Bouhary from APC.

It will be interesting to see how things come out from now to 2027.

Analyst Ben Kenneth says he believes the coalition has a better opportunity to defeat Tenobo than the last time.

“If you look at what ATIKU and OBI got in the last elections, it is clear that they will be assumed that they worked together, so it is good to realize that they need each other,” he told the BBC.

However, another analyst Sani Hamso feels that the 73 -year -old Tenopo has a better chance now in 2023.

“In Nigeria and Africa, when the leader in his position is looking for a second term, he can hardly lose, it is very rare and that is why I feel that Tinopo has a better chance now than he was when he was not in his position in 2019.”

The ruling APC has already supported the current president, which expires on May 29, 2027, to search for a second term.

However, the questions related to his health will continue because it will be in 75 years by the upcoming elections and 79 if he is elected and ended his second term.

Some media reports say that his recent flights abroad were for medical reasons, but the presidency denied this, saying that the president was in good health and in good condition.

APC says he does not bother his competitors joins ADC and who does not see it as a real threat.

Acting Chairman on Boar Dalori told BBC Hausa that the coalition will not have any impact on the APC.

“No one talks about a coalition except in Abuja. Even in Abuja, they are in a hotel, and when they are defeated in the elections, they will leave the country,” he said.

The largest opposition party in the country, the People’s Democratic Party ruled out joining ADC, preferring to confront APC alone.

The Labor Party also called on its supporters to stay centers and fairly behind the party, and deny any plans to join a coalition.

For LP, the loss of Peter Obi, which alone raised alone to new horizons will be a big blow, and some say it is unlikely to recover in the near future.

The other larger loser in the alliance is PDP, which has lost several great names.

Iliyasu Hadi believes that PDP is to lose its position as the country’s largest opposition party in ADC.

“When you look at the caliber of the politicians in ADC and those that remain in the People’s Democratic Party, it is clear that we see that ADC will soon become the main opposition party in Nigeria, [it’s] Just a matter of time. “

At the present time, none of the parties seems to have any other candidate from Abu Bakr or Obi.

However, they control 11 states, giving them a strong base, as long as these conservatives do not like either APC or ADC.