Trump’s high risk stability may come
US President Donald Trump took a gamble to introduce the United States into the deteriorating conflict between Israel and Iran, but may have resulted – at least at the present time.
Trump announced on Monday evening that the two countries agreed to the ceasefire, which he said could lead to permanent peace.
If the American president has actually ended what he described as the “12 war”, he would lead to a big step back from the edge of the conflict, which seemed about to wander in the region, as well as attracting America after the American air forests hit Iranian nuclear facilities on Saturday.
“The Israeli regime stops its illegal aggression against the Iranian people, no later than four in the morning,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragichi said in a statement.
The Israeli government later said it had agreed to the proposal after “achieving the goals” of its attacks on Iran.
The two parties seemed about to refuse heat at a time when the deadline 04:00 (00:30 GMT) arrived in Tehran, and according to what was reported, the Israeli attacks stopped.
But the fragility of the agreement was fully presented after only two hours, when the Israeli Defense Minister accused Iran of violating the ceasefire and pledged to respond strongly. Iran, and at the same time, denied any violation.
There is no doubt that the Trump administration hopes that this is an edge, due to clear tensions, and the ceasefire is eventually respected by both sides.
The Trump stop declaration came after a loud day in the region, when Iran continued its promise to take revenge for the United States strike on Saturday.
According to early reports, all Iranian missiles directed at the huge American base in Qatar were intercepted and there were no American victims or damage.
During his speech to the nation on Saturday evening, President Trump warned that there will be an overwhelming American answer to any Iranian attacks on American interests. He promised to have more goals that American forces could collide if necessary.
For more than 24 hours, waited the world to find out what Iran will do. Once Iran acted, attention is due to the American president, and after a few hours, he had his first opinion.
“Iran has officially responded to our blurring of its nuclear facilities with a very weak response, which we expected, and we have faced very effectively,” Trump posted his website on social media.
He said that Iran “removed everything from their” regime “, adding that” Iran may now move forward in peace and harmony in the region. “
While the limited damage was reported, Trump began tending to remove his fire in the hope that the Iranians would be ready to negotiate seriously. Behind the scenes, the White House says he was talking to the Qatari intermediaries and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to develop details of the ceasefire.
Trump’s weekend’s attack on Iran was a highly dangerous maneuver, but a scenario in which payments are already displayed.
A similar dynamic played in January 2020, when Trump ordered the targeted killing of Iranian Revolutionary Guards leader Qassem Soleimani in Baghdad.
Iran fired rockets in military bases in Iraq, wounding more than 100 American soldiers, but the United States chose not to escalate. The cold heads prevailed in the end.
According to the American media, in its latest attack on Monday, Iran launched a number of missiles in the American bases equal to the total number of US war bombs that decreased during its attack at the end of the week.
In addition to the pre -notification that Iran submitted to the Qatari government before the launch, which Trump said he is grateful, indicates that the Iranians are looking for proportionality, not escalation.
During most of the day, Trump was more focused on the price of oil, American media coverage and a suggestion of former Russian President Dimiri Medvedev that an external nation provides Iran with nuclear weapons.
US officials stated that this president follows his threats, unlike some of his predecessors.
If Iran will launch another round of attacks – and there are American deaths or major damage – Trump will be pressured to respond.
However, at the present time, it seems that he seems out of the slope to more fighting and it appears that both countries are ready to entertain them.
